We're in May. With less than six months to the elections. And the outlook becomes clearer.
On the opposing side, many are being defined. Those whose voting intentions are pathetically low rearranged in places that look promising, as would Daniel Filmus, a consolation prize.
On the side of Project South, Fernando "Pino" Solanas has already decided to reduce their claims and go as a candidate for head of government of the City of Buenos Aires. The decision, which generated some sparks with Claudio Lozano, the former candidate of the party, leave the space ready for national alliance with other forces, perhaps with the Santa Fe and GEN Socialism ... Maybe ...
speculation Pino make a good choice Capital and reach the second ballot ... Perhaps ... Perhaps ... get
The Federal Peronism seems to be vanishing way to extinction. First there was the mysterious Mr. Reutemann who announced he would continue with its eternal meditation (Is it Buddhist?). Then Felipe Solá found out that it was "not the better "and started looking for an arena where scratching ... Will it end with a beret, Jr. Alfonsin ally? ... Das Neves
better not to talk ... It was lost in one of his empty ballot boxes, and do not know if you ever able to get out of there ...
Duhalde and Rodriguez Saa staged an embarrassing internal to finally end up announcing that they were suspending the polls and that each would be a candidate for theirs. Duhalde looks very confused, and probably even he knows he will do in these months. Paradoxically, "The Albert", the controversial leader puntano, appears as the most serious and principled: not accept alliances unpresentable and wants to go as the candidate of your space, but their chances are very few ...
The PRO is mired in doubts of his boss. But it seems clear that Macri will be up for reelection in the city and "saved" by 2015 ... or ...
Boca De Narváez is alone and abandoned, and, as a single, look where snuggle. It is increasingly convinced that the red pompom radical matching beret with red hair ...
Elisa Carrio, who recently said he would win in the first round even though their intention to vote at the national level is around 5%, still living in their world in their own reality, in which Lucifer is written with K and she is a heroine loved and admired by all who wish well.
Socialism has its own problems, including a Binner is not willing to join anything and a more omnivorous Giustiniani ... Time will tell who wins the internal trend, and where is the anniversary party, if a partnership " center "with GEN, the remainder of Project South, and perhaps radical, or a partnership, unbalanced to the right, Ajismo Group.
We are the radicals. Cobos has reaped the fruits of their vote ... and non-positive is that nobody trusts the traitors ... So his presidential aspirations are over, and now content to lead a list of deputies.
Ernesto Sanz has also dropped (was uploaded somewhere?) ...
And then sign the bid is Ricardo Alfonsin, the radicals called "Mikey" is not clear whether they love or because he has succeeded because the incredible performance of carrying thirty years in politics without having done anything ... And that is its main virtue: though almost 60 years and radical activist long time, no past.
Alfonsin is almost unique running as opposition candidate with some vague hope of competing with the government. The task will not be easy.
"Ricky" faces a heavy task. Their votes were not enough. And what is worse, his party is not enough. The UCR is not what it was in its heyday. Retains something of a national framework, but in some places is a rubber stamp. The recent elections have shown. The radicals lost in Catamarca, although they did a good task, above 40% of the vote. But in places like Salta and Chubut are semidesaparecidos. And are not the only places: the radical frontrunner Capital, Silvana Giudici, has according to the polls between 1 and 3% of the intention to vote. In the powerful province of Buenos Aires just do not have a candidate, and so are thinking of adding to De Narváez, disoriented employer that shifts between the PRO, the ghostly federal Peronism and the UCR. Alfonsin
Jr. will make alliances, to the left of his party look with sympathy for Socialism, the GEN and Project South, and his right to de Narvaez, the PRO, and what remains of the Federal Peronism (Felipe Solá? .) But it seems difficult to reconcile, for example, Socialism and the GEN with the PRO, so probably lose by left or right, and if he manages to weave an alliance that includes everyone, is an alliance stuck with saliva, always ready burst.
hard to imagine that such an alliance can win. And more than to govern. President Alfonsin would eventual minority in both chambers, a majority of opponents and allies provinces so complicated to reconcile and socialists in Santa Fe, De Narvaez in Buenos Aires and Macri in Capital ... More Duhalde? ...
If Alfonsin had successfully organized and bring victory to this sort of new Democratic Union, an alliance "grupoajista" residual, probably this strange political framework is in the hands rid the day of triumph, as the external binder (hate the current ruling party) lose all sense of his own victory.
On the opposing side, many are being defined. Those whose voting intentions are pathetically low rearranged in places that look promising, as would Daniel Filmus, a consolation prize.
On the side of Project South, Fernando "Pino" Solanas has already decided to reduce their claims and go as a candidate for head of government of the City of Buenos Aires. The decision, which generated some sparks with Claudio Lozano, the former candidate of the party, leave the space ready for national alliance with other forces, perhaps with the Santa Fe and GEN Socialism ... Maybe ...
speculation Pino make a good choice Capital and reach the second ballot ... Perhaps ... Perhaps ... get
The Federal Peronism seems to be vanishing way to extinction. First there was the mysterious Mr. Reutemann who announced he would continue with its eternal meditation (Is it Buddhist?). Then Felipe Solá found out that it was "not the better "and started looking for an arena where scratching ... Will it end with a beret, Jr. Alfonsin ally? ... Das Neves
better not to talk ... It was lost in one of his empty ballot boxes, and do not know if you ever able to get out of there ...
Duhalde and Rodriguez Saa staged an embarrassing internal to finally end up announcing that they were suspending the polls and that each would be a candidate for theirs. Duhalde looks very confused, and probably even he knows he will do in these months. Paradoxically, "The Albert", the controversial leader puntano, appears as the most serious and principled: not accept alliances unpresentable and wants to go as the candidate of your space, but their chances are very few ...
The PRO is mired in doubts of his boss. But it seems clear that Macri will be up for reelection in the city and "saved" by 2015 ... or ...
Boca De Narváez is alone and abandoned, and, as a single, look where snuggle. It is increasingly convinced that the red pompom radical matching beret with red hair ...
Elisa Carrio, who recently said he would win in the first round even though their intention to vote at the national level is around 5%, still living in their world in their own reality, in which Lucifer is written with K and she is a heroine loved and admired by all who wish well.
Socialism has its own problems, including a Binner is not willing to join anything and a more omnivorous Giustiniani ... Time will tell who wins the internal trend, and where is the anniversary party, if a partnership " center "with GEN, the remainder of Project South, and perhaps radical, or a partnership, unbalanced to the right, Ajismo Group.
We are the radicals. Cobos has reaped the fruits of their vote ... and non-positive is that nobody trusts the traitors ... So his presidential aspirations are over, and now content to lead a list of deputies.
Ernesto Sanz has also dropped (was uploaded somewhere?) ...
And then sign the bid is Ricardo Alfonsin, the radicals called "Mikey" is not clear whether they love or because he has succeeded because the incredible performance of carrying thirty years in politics without having done anything ... And that is its main virtue: though almost 60 years and radical activist long time, no past.
Alfonsin is almost unique running as opposition candidate with some vague hope of competing with the government. The task will not be easy.
"Ricky" faces a heavy task. Their votes were not enough. And what is worse, his party is not enough. The UCR is not what it was in its heyday. Retains something of a national framework, but in some places is a rubber stamp. The recent elections have shown. The radicals lost in Catamarca, although they did a good task, above 40% of the vote. But in places like Salta and Chubut are semidesaparecidos. And are not the only places: the radical frontrunner Capital, Silvana Giudici, has according to the polls between 1 and 3% of the intention to vote. In the powerful province of Buenos Aires just do not have a candidate, and so are thinking of adding to De Narváez, disoriented employer that shifts between the PRO, the ghostly federal Peronism and the UCR. Alfonsin
Jr. will make alliances, to the left of his party look with sympathy for Socialism, the GEN and Project South, and his right to de Narvaez, the PRO, and what remains of the Federal Peronism (Felipe Solá? .) But it seems difficult to reconcile, for example, Socialism and the GEN with the PRO, so probably lose by left or right, and if he manages to weave an alliance that includes everyone, is an alliance stuck with saliva, always ready burst.
hard to imagine that such an alliance can win. And more than to govern. President Alfonsin would eventual minority in both chambers, a majority of opponents and allies provinces so complicated to reconcile and socialists in Santa Fe, De Narvaez in Buenos Aires and Macri in Capital ... More Duhalde? ...
If Alfonsin had successfully organized and bring victory to this sort of new Democratic Union, an alliance "grupoajista" residual, probably this strange political framework is in the hands rid the day of triumph, as the external binder (hate the current ruling party) lose all sense of his own victory.
Ricardo Alfonsin thus needs not one but three miracles: the first is to build a grand alliance A group of battered, the second is to take such bullshit to victory, and the third is to keep it together to be able to govern after a possible victory.
the other hand, pro-government side, things are much clearer. Cristina Fernandez has not officially announced his candidacy. And he has not done so because it is not necessary. No candidate will be comfortable at first with all surveys, and uncertainty adds confusion to an opposition that is lost in a glass ...
But Cristina is behaving as a candidate, and all indications are that eventually will make the official announcement. And surely, when I do announce the complete formula, having already taken the decision regarding the vice president. This will prevent speculation and internal strengthening the internal front. It will be a leap forward, as it is very possible that the vice president of the formula for 2011 to be a candidate for President of FPV in 2015 ...
Argentines we face a historic choice. In an election that does not like to win one or the other, because both sides show very different projects.
Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner will unify in himself to two different profile voters: on the one hand, a Peronist-progressive city, or just progressive, committed to a model that has been developed for several years, he wants to defend the achievements and deepen transformations. A voter who believes in "Never Less."
But Cristina receive too many votes from other sectors, more conservative, not so strongly pro-government, opposition or even moderately, you will see in the continuity of the Kirchner government to maintain a predictable, known, proven ability and a defined project. Ie, receive the votes of an industry that prefers the continuity of the current ruling party rather than opt for a virtual "bungee jumping" ... Adrian
Corbella, May 1, 2011.
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